Free Seo Webmaster Tools + Free Article Submissions | No question is not big enough to release the forecast earthquake prediction?

According to Wuhan Evening News reported that at 10:36 on the 24 January, Shanxi Hejin 4.8 felt earthquake occurred in the city, generally felt in the city of Yuncheng. However, shortly after the earthquake, some Internet users have in the Baidu Post Bar, etc. Forum On the post that the earthquake has just rumor in the media, he does not have earthquakes, ridicule questioned the local seismological bureau.

Users mentioned the rumor is January 22, "Taiyuan Evening News" on a news report said the near future for the network will take place in Taiyuan Damage Earthquakes are rumors, "provincial, municipal earthquake has clarified earthquake Expert Not made in Shanxi, the recent devastating earthquake will occur on the prognosis. "

Before, "Shanxi Youth Daily" also released on January 7 a similar rumor news, saying that "to Shanxi Province experts on recent monitoring data were checked, Shanxi seismic network is not recorded in January 5 am felt earthquake occurred in Taiyuan, Shanxi experts not within any recent devastating earthquake will occur on the prognosis. " Some users also cited the recent

taken to the "earthquake clouds" livestock "abnormal reaction" and other phenomena, questioning the rumor saying China Earthquake Administration.

Challenge for users, the earthquake occurred in Shanxi

Seismological Bureau of Yuncheng Branch, Ms. Yan telephone interview, said that before the reports of experts "will not make a place in Shanxi, the recent devastating earthquake on the prognosis," the basic argument is correct, the reason why Internet users questioned It is not clear, "the devastating earthquake" concept.

In the "Baidu Encyclopedia" in "devastating earthquake," Determination of term Standard At least three: the Richter 3, 4.7 and 5. However, according to the State Council promulgated in 1995, "the devastating earthquake emergency regulations", the devastating earthquake that "caused a number of casualties and economic losses of seismic events," and does not require a specific series. Ms. Yan claimed that, in seismic analysis, the general magnitude of the above magnitude 6 earthquake was devastating.

25 pm, to Shanxi Province in the website of the State Seismological Bureau said the earthquake did not belong Hejin devastating earthquake. According to notice that in Shanxi seismic monitoring began 40 years since, 4-5 in the province of middle-class average of twice a year earthquake; and less destructive of such earthquakes, forecast issued opinions "without mitigation effectiveness", and therefore The Government generally does not publish forecasts for the views of such an earthquake.

Current focus of the 3 days before the earthquake, to Shanxi Province has issued a "notice rumor," said the experts did not make the recent destructive earthquake prediction, circular and dissemination of the public not to rely on rumors, and stressed the need to earthquake prediction Published by the government, individuals no right to publish forecasts.

In this rumor from the short notice, you can taste the layers of meaning, 1, Yuncheng before the earthquake, the public has the earthquake prediction rumors and spread warm. 2, the experts did not say "no recent earthquake", just say "ah I did not say to the earthquake." 3, the earthquake not earthquake, no one can say that, but the government have the final say.

"Settle scores" every time after the earthquake, people will invest in China Earthquake Administration javelin. Wenchuan earthquake as big as small as Jiangxi, Gansu, Yunnan and other places large and small earthquakes, and afterwards there will be News , The public had predicted, the official has been rumor.

If this inference, folk there, "Fortune Son" can be accurately predicted, while the full-time position of civil servants who are not officers Zhanzhao, I think this is any errors arbitrary. Folk accurate earthquake prediction, I guess yes. But I guess a lot of folk earthquake prediction has not occurred, such as Jiangsu, there had been "Fortune Son" to escape the fact, the earthquake did not bring three to four people jumping into a river refuge, Fujian has tens of thousands of people did not escape the same earthquake but to flee their homes.

So issued by government departments earthquake need not say that in Shanxi, but the country's "Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Act" requirements. An earthquake prediction, involving the foundation for thousands of people are, of course, can not kidding.

Basic situation is the case now, folk forecast Daner big sky archery, so the target of much more stringent official forecast, the basic is not easy Zhang crossbow, the omission of many.

This is a dilemma. The crux of the difficulty is that earthquake prediction worldwide, are recognized as the outstanding scientific problems.